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China’s central bank strengthened the yuan’s reference rate for a fifth straight day, aiming to offset the dollar’s recent gains ahead of President Xi Jinping’s summit with US counterpart Donald Trump later this month.
Chinese researchers have modelled a war game scenario suggesting that a complete economic decoupling between the US and China could, unexpectedly, yield dividends for most other nations. Using a quantitative trade model – a data-based economic framework that estimates how changes in trade affect economies – two researchers based in southern China’s Guangdong province found that if the world’s two largest economies were to sever trade relations entirely, a number of other countries, including...
The widening yield spread between Chinese and American government bonds is unlikely to trigger catastrophic capital flight from China, according to investment executives at Marsh Investment, who attribute the record spread to the United States’ fiscal pressures and global macro trends rather than a structural retreat for Chinese assets. The spread between benchmark 10-year US Treasury bonds and equivalent Chinese sovereign bonds hit a record 3.17 percentage points this week. Yields on US...